Ember

Business tools for game studios / New Game - Commercial Plan·Live Game Re-forecast
A Kritiq
product
1

Your plan

Load the Baseline you are measuring against: the plan, or a forecast you saved. Every bridge in this report runs from it.

No plan loaded. Save one from the New Game - Commercial Plan and load it here.
Name this baseline
The name is used wherever figures are compared against it. A plan without a name is given the current month. A loaded plan keeps its own name.
Look at the next
Your library
Stored in this browser only. Nothing is uploaded, so your numbers never leave this machine — which also means the library does not follow you to another device. Download a copy for that.
2

Actuals to date

Month by month since launch. Month 1 is your launch month. Close each month once it is complete. A closed month locks, and any figure changed after it was saved is flagged. Enter units sold and net revenue. Net revenue per unit is worked out from them. The grey figure under each entry is the Baseline it is measured against.

3

Are we on track?

Where the plan said you would be by now, against where you actually are.

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4

Where the variance comes from

Each line is one driver of the variance, in dollars. The lines add up to the total.

5

Diagnose the variance

Is the miss steady from month to month, or concentrated in one month?

Cumulative units from launch: Baseline in grey, actual in green. The table below gives each month's variance against Baseline, how actual and Baseline each changed on the month before, and the cumulative variance to date.
6

Close the gap

Where we land, how much of the gap comes back, and which months carry it.

1. How much of the gap comes back?
Share of the gap recovered in the remaining months
None recoveredHalfAll recovered
The remaining months continue at the same share of plan as the closed months, with no recovery, upside or hand adjustments.
Above plan in the remaining months
Optional. Use it to test a game that beats plan. The extra units sit on top of the recovery and follow the spread below.
2. Where does the recovery go?
3. Check each month against plan
Drag a bar up or down to change that month by hand. Hover for its units, and click a month to add a note.
Actual units, closed months Baseline Plan units Above plan
Edit the forecast total
Forecast: units for the rest of the period
Notes on the forecast
7

Review and lock

The forecast against the baseline, month by month. Lock it to use it for what is left.

8

Additional levers

Set a lever to see what it is worth at year end, and what gap it leaves.

9

For the record

What changed since the last forecast, and how far this now sits from the original plan.

What changed this time
10

Version history

Which numbers exist, which one is on record, and how the view has moved since.

Save this version
Status
Ember A Kritiq product
Variance is decomposed by sequential attribution, walked in the order the model applies each factor. Figures are directional.